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### Access All files can be accessed and downloaded from the directory via: [http://arcticdata.io/data/10.18739/A2MW28G9D](http://arcticdata.io/data/10.18739/A2MW28G9D). ### Overview Storm surge extremes are intensifying across Arctic coastlines, yet limited observational records hamper detailed spatial and temporal characterization of these events. To address that, this data is a 45-year hydrodynamic hindcast of storm-driven water levels across Northern and Western Alaska. We utilize ADCIRC+SWAN to simulate interactions between the ocean, land, sea ice, and atmosphere, focusing on the period from 1979 to 2024 for Western to Northern Alaska coasts. Data from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts Re-Analysis (ERA5), including sea ice concentration and atmospheric forcing were utilized to support these simulations, which investigate annual conditions in the Alaskan Arctic. The Processed_DATA dataset contains extracted parameters for communities located in western to northern Alaska. For other areas in the state not included here, please refer to the Raw_DATA file. ### Goal The goal of this study's data is to attribute long-term changes in Arctic storm surge extremes to evolving physical drivers—primarily the transition from sea-ice-dominated to wind-driven surge regimes. Furthermore, to fill in the gap in observed water levels and wave conditions throughout Alaska. ### Methods This study’s hindcast model framework is to evaluate the storm driven water levels from 1979 to 2024. The framework integrates a coupled hydrodynamic–wave model driven by time-varying boundary inputs representing atmospheric, oceanic, tidal, and sea ice conditions. We used the coupled Advanced CIRCulation and Simulating WAves Nearshore model (ADCIRC+SWAN) to simulate water levels and wave conditions. 

### Overview This dataset contains simulated significant wave height data generated from the WaveWatch III model run from 2020 up to 2070. It was produced to predict future environmental hazards threatening maritime navigation within the Arctic. Four unique simulations were produced using different Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) climate models' wind and sea ice projections along the shared socioeconomic pathways 5-8.5 (SSP5-8.5) future emissions scenario. The climate models used include: CNRM-CM6-1-HR, EC-Earth3, MPI-ESM1-2-HR, and MRI-ESM2-0. For each climate model, data is organized into yearly files written to NetCDF format. The data is contained on a spatially-varying unstructured triangular mesh which spans from 50° North (N) to 89.9°N and 180° West (W) to 180° East (E). The 'hs' variable presents the significant wave height (highest one thirds of wave heights) to occur for each node during the simulation in 6 hour intervals. ### Access Data files can be accessed via: [https://arcticdata.io/data/10.18739/A2ST7DZ74/](https://arcticdata.io/data/10.18739/A2ST7DZ74/) 

Abstract Declining Arctic sea ice over recent decades has been linked to growth in coastal hazards affecting the Alaskan Arctic. In this study, climate model projections of sea ice are utilized in the simulation of an extratropical cyclone to quantify how future changes in seasonal ice coverage could affect coastal waves caused by this extreme event. All future scenarios and decades show an increase in coastal wave heights, demonstrating how an extended season of open water in the Chukchi and Beaufort Seas could expose Alaskan Arctic shorelines to wave hazards resulting from such a storm event for an additional winter month by 2050 and up to three additional months by 2070 depending on climate pathway. Additionally, for the Beaufort coastal region, future scenarios agree that a coastal wave saturation limit is reached during the sea ice minimum, where historically sea ice would provide a degree of protection throughout the year.